compliance tooling keeps surprising consensus on carry strategies

Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.

Keeping a written thesis helps avoid narrative whiplash.

Put beside current chatter on “Bitcoin Faces Fifth Weekly Loss as US Midterms Weigh In,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

Ignoring open interest because cycle psychology looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Desks that separate open interest from cycle psychology tend to react less emotionally to noise.

Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.

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