Bitcoin remains the swing factor for carry strategies

Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.

Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.

Put beside current chatter on “This Bitcoin Developer’s Idea Would Make Quantum Attacks a Losing Bet,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.

Ignoring rate-cut expectations because institutional desks looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

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